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Indicators
Inflation
Activity
TREND
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Details
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Methodology
• Input: YoY inflation rate (%)
• 3m avg: mean of last 3 observations (YoY, %)
• Trend: OLS slope of last 6 obs (pp/month)
• Clamp: [-50, 400] to reduce spike distortion
• Thresholds: ±0.03 pp/month
ATLAS Inflation Score
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/ 100
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Score details
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Month:
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Sraw:
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Component contributions
Component
Weight
Subscore
Impact
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Subscore is normalized to
−1..+1
. Impact is the points added to the final score.
Inflation Status
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Details
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Methodology
• Input: YoY inflation rate (%)
• Benchmarks: Target YoY (%) and EM avg YoY (%)
• Gap: max(0, YoY−Target, YoY−EMavg)
• Subscore: tanh(gap / k_gap_pp) (higher = worse)
• Card grade: converts subscore to 0–100 (higher = better)
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EXPECTATIONS
POLICY STANCE
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Details
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Methodology
• Input: BADLAR (APR, %)
• 3m avg: mean of last 3 observations (APR, %)
• Stance: OLS slope of last 6 obs (pp/month)
• Thresholds: ±0.05 pp/month
• Interpretation: Rising → Tightening | Falling → Easing | Flat → Neutral
MONTHLY PRESSURE
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Details
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Methodology
• Input: Monthly inflation (MoM, %)
• 3m annualized: Π(1+m) over last 3 months, annualized: (…^4 − 1) × 100
• Bands: OK < 10%, WARN [10, 25), CRIT ≥ 25
• Δ MoM: last MoM minus previous MoM (pp)
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Index:100
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